Bitcoin Stays Calm — But Signals a Potential Breakout: Is a Historic Move Near?
Bitcoin hasn’t collapsed — but it also hasn’t surged. Instead, price action has turned unusually calm, with volatility compressing into a tighter range. Traders often describe this pattern as a “coil,” where the market builds tension before releasing into a sharp move. The key question now: is this calm setting up a historic breakout?
Why a “Coil” Matters
When volatility compresses, liquidity tends to concentrate around key price levels. That can create a conditions where even a moderate catalyst triggers a large reaction — as stops get hit, leverage unwinds, and momentum traders pile in. In short: quiet markets can become violent quickly.
- Lower volatility can precede large directional moves
- Range compression often builds liquidity “pressure”
- Breakouts can trigger stop-runs and rapid momentum
- Liquidity shifts can override short-term narratives
Market Commentary: “This Isn’t a Crash — It’s a Coil”
BREAKING:
— Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) December 19, 2025
THIS ISN’T A CRASH.
IT’S A COIL.
Raoul Pal just spelled it out:
The old 4-year halving cycle is over.
We’re in a liquidity-driven supercycle.
For 15 years the script was simple:
Halving. Supply shock. Retail mania. Top. Winter.
That ended when $125B+ ETFs,… pic.twitter.com/zlwY1jQ5Lv
What Traders Are Watching Next
- Breakout above key resistance or breakdown below support
- ETF flow trends and broader liquidity conditions
- Funding rates and leverage build-up
- Volume expansion confirming direction
Whether the next move is up or down, the message from charts is clear: Bitcoin’s calm phase is unlikely to last forever. If volatility expands sharply, the market could be entering the next defining leg of this cycle.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
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